Angela Merkel prelomila? Njemačka uvodi mega-lockdown, evo što će se sve promijeniti
SVE SE ZATVARA
Zanstvenici upozoravaju Angelu Merkel da se novi soj virusa širi 6-8 puta brže
Ulazi li Njemačka u mega-lockdown, nakon djelomičnog lockdowna u studenome, postroženoga u prosincu i produženoga do kraja siječnja? Danas se kancelarka Angela Merkel sastaje s premijera saveznih pokrajina da dogovore epidemiološke mjere nakon 31. siječnja. Stručnjaci se zalažu za stroži lockdown, ali i političari, jer se novi soj virusa širi 6-8 puta brže, pa se Nijemci boje da ne završe kao Englezi.
Nijemci su gotovo u potpunom lockdownu, ali se i većina stanovništva zalaže za stroži lockdown, piše konzervativni Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. Merkel je za policijski sat, zatvaranje škola, obavezan rad od kuće, brže cijepljenje i nošenje FFP2 maski, piše Der Spiegel.
Skupina stručnjaka koji savjetuju njemačku vladu upozorila je da ne bi bilo dobro precijeniti trenutnu pozitivnu situaciju s opadajućom brojkom novozaraženih. “Zemlje poput Irske dobro su upozorenje koliko se brzo može poništiti uspjeh u borbi protiv pandemije”, istaknuo je premijer Sarske Tobias Hans (CDU) za Rheinische Post. Irska je prva u EU proglasila lockdown i sjajno spustila broj zaraženih, ali je otvaranje pubova i trgovina uoči Božića značio katastrofu s novim razbuktavanjem pandemije.
Novi soj virusa
Širenje novog soja virusa može se zaustaviti samo daljnjim smanjivanjem mobilnosti i kontakata, pa je jedna od prvih preporuka da se i službeno naloži da svi rade od kuće ukoliko je to ikako moguće. Neće biti dovoljno da se samo produže sadašnje, ionako stroge mjere, upozoravaju njemački znanstvenici, potrebno je uvesti policijski sat i naložiti školama da do daljnjeg rade online.
Većina Nijemaca podržava nastavak lockdowna, koji im osigurava dobre gospodarske izglede. Prema agenciji YouGov, 40 posto ih je za postroženje mjera, a daljnjih 21 posto za zadržavanje postojećeg lockdowna. Do 31. siječnja na snazi je zabranu rada ugostiteljskih objekata i hotela, kulturnih i sportskih ustanova, rade samo trgovine s hranom i ljekarne, škole i vrtići većinom ne rade, smijete se družiti samo s jednom osobom izvan kućanstva. U okruzima gdje je više od 200 novooboljelih na 100.000 stanovnika u 7 dana, nije dozvoljeno napuštanje kuće dalje od 15 kilometara. Samo 13 posto Nijemaca sad je za ukidanje lockdowna, a 17 posto za ublažavanje.
Gradonačelnik Hamburga Peter Tschentscher (SPD) smatra da dosadašnje mjere nisu dovoljno učinkovite. Još uvijek previše ljudi putuje na posao. “To vidimo po velikom korištenju autobusa i vlakova tijekom špice. Moramo povećati rad od kuće, a ako je nužan odlazak na posao, tvrtke bi trebale preraspodijeliti radno vrijeme da rasterete javni prijevoz”, poručuje gradonačelnik Hamburga.
Ankete kažu da je čak 70 posto Nijemaca za to da se proglasi obaveza poduzećima da svim radnicima omoguće rad od kuće, ukoliko je to izvedivo.
Također se razgovara o striktnoj zabrani napuštanja kuće, obustavi prometovanja vlakova i autobusa i o obaveznom nošenju kvalitetnijih maski FFP2, što je već uvedeno u Bavarskoj. Berlinski Tagesspiegel prenosi da je 56 posto Nijemaca za policijski sat kakav recimo imaju Francuzi (od 16. siječnja u Francuskoj je na snazi policijski sat od 18 sati, umjesto od 20 kako je bilo ranije). Uvođenju policijskog sata protivi se 36 posto Nijemaca.
Sporno zatvaranje škola
Većina Nijemaca je da se na čitavu zemlju protegne obavezno nošenje FFP2 maski, što je u Bavarskoj obavezno od ponedjeljka: za to je 60 posto ispitanih, a 36 posto se slaže ako maske svima budu besplatne. Jedino oko zatvaranja škola nema većinske podrške: da škole ostanu zatvorene, slaže se 40 posto Nijemaca, dok 37 posto smatra da bi se nastava uz određena ograničenja mogla održavati u školi. Za normalno odvijanje školske nastave je 16 posto ispitanih, piše Tagesspeiegel.
Uoči današnjeg sastanka s premijerima pokrajina, kancelarka Angela Merkel u ponedjeljak navečer našla se sa svojim znanstvenim savjetom, sa znanstvenicima koji je savjetuju oko pandemije. Većina stručnjaka zalaže se za još strože mjere, prenosi Der Spiegel. Rolf Apweiler, molekularni biolog i direktor Europsko Bioinformatičkog instituta u Engleskoj, koji savjetuje i francuskog predsjednika Emmanuela Macrona, upozorio je da se prisutnost novog soja koronavirusa B.1.1.7. povećala za 200 do 400 posto u studenom, što je prošlo nezapaženo, dok su se ostale varijante smanjile za 50 posto.
Problem je u tome što novi soj dovodi do 6 do 8 puta većeg mjesečnog broja zaraženih, upozorio je Apweiler na sastanku kod kancelarke. Postoji rizik da će 2021. biti gora od 2020. ako hitno ne djelujemo, upozorila je virologinja Melanie Brinkmann iz Helmholtz – Centra za istraživanje infekcija. Ona podržava potpuni lockdown, kakav smo imali na proljeće, prenosi Spiegel. Cilj je vlade smanjiti broj zaraženih ispod 50 na 100.000 stanovnika u 7 dana, dok Brinkmann smatra da je to iluzorno, jer i najmanji broj zaraženih prijeti novim razbuktavanjem. Moramo ići prema nuli, poručuje Brinkmann, koja podržava kampanju #ZeroCovid.
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