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Promjena vremena u BiH: Slijede oblačni dani praćeni kišom i grmljavinom

Gradacacki Glas

Nakon perioda sunčanog i toplog vremena pred nama su dani nižih temperatura praćeni kišom, prognoza je Federalnog hidrometeorološkog zavoda.

Danas se očekuje jače naoblačenje sa sjevera koje će usloviti kišu, pljuskove i zahlađenje u Bosni i na sjeveru Hercegovine. U većem dijelu Hercegovine naoblačenje se prognozira sredinom dana i lokalno kiša može padati u poslijepodnevnim i večernjim satima. Vjetar će biti slab do umjerene jačine sjevernog smjera.

Najniža jutarnja temperatura zraka većinom će biti između 11 i 16°C, na jugu zemlje do 20°C. Najviša dnevna temperatura zraka većinom između 16 i 23°C, na jugu zemlje do 29°C.

U subotu (18.7.2020.) u Bosni i Hercegovini će biti pretežno oblačno vrijeme s pljuskovima i grmljavinom. Vjetar slab do umjerene jačine sjevernog smjera. Najniža jutarnja temperatura zraka većinom između 9 i 13°C, na jugu zemlje do 19°C. Najviša dnevna temperatura zraka većinom između 18 i 24°C, na jugu zemlje do 27°C.

U nedjelju (19.7.2020.) bit će pretežno oblačno u Bosni i na sjeveru Hercegovine. Širom Bosne povremeno su mogući lokalni pljuskovi. U većem dijelu Hercegovine će biti sunčano uz umjerenu naoblaku. Vjetar slab do umjerene jačine zapadnog i sjeverozapadnog smjera.

Najniža jutarnja temperatura zraka većinom između 8 i 13°C, na jugu zemlje do 18°C. Najviša dnevna temperatura zraka većinom između 20 i 25°C, na jugu zemlje do 29°C.

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    設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調？
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：

    政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎？
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？

    在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

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